COMP <GO>
DUOL vs BOX // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Duolingo Inc. (NASDAQ) VS. Box Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: DUOL 9
— BOX 3
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $135.27 (+2.80%) • MKT CAP: $6.16B
options-implied-move
—
LAST: $43.24 (-0.48%) • MKT CAP: $5.96B
options-implied-move
—
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (DUOL VS. BOX)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | DUOL | BOX | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 72.20% | 79.20% | -7.00 | BOX | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 18.40% | 13.80% | +4.60 | DUOL | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 37.2x | 68.2x | -31.00 | DUOL | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 5.79% | 5.89% | -0.10 | BOX | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 13.10% | 7.10% | +6.00 | DUOL | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 39.90% | 9.80% | +30.10 | DUOL | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 38.70% | 8.00% | +30.70 | DUOL | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 7.42 | 2.89 | +4.53 | DUOL | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 8/9 | 8/9 | 0.00 | TIE | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 40.6 | 80.2 | -39.60 | BOX | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.30 | 1.29 | +0.01 | DUOL | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 12.9x | 47.9x | -35.00 | DUOL | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $6.16B | $5.96B | $195.2M | DUOL | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | DUOL REV | BOX REV | DUOL GROSS % | BOX GROSS % | DUOL FCF | BOX FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1.04B | $1.18B | 72.2% | 79.2% | $369.7M | $350.4M |
| FY 2024 | $748.0M | $1.09B | 72.8% | 79.1% | $273.4M | $329.7M |
| FY 2023 | $531.1M | $1.04B | — | — | $129.7M | $272.0M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
DUOL // BETA 1.30
BOX // BETA 1.29