COMP <GO>
CAT vs UNP // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE) VS. Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: CAT 5
— UNP 8
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $647.39 (-9.25%) • MKT CAP: $297.59B
options-implied-move
8.46%
LAST: $301.93 (+1.39%) • MKT CAP: $179.42B
options-implied-move
—
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (CAT VS. UNP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | CAT | UNP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 82.20% | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 21.15% | 20.10% | +1.05 | CAT | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 20.9x | 15.3x | +5.56 | UNP | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 3.74% | 3.06% | +0.68 | CAT | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 17.52% | 40.20% | -22.68 | UNP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 14.51% | 29.10% | -14.59 | UNP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 18.36% | 1.10% | +17.26 | CAT | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 1.05% | 1.80% | -0.75 | UNP | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 4.34 | 4.31 | +0.03 | CAT | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 5/9 | 6/9 | -1.00 | UNP | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 8.46% | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 33.5 | 66.2 | -32.70 | UNP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.02 | 1.03 | -0.01 | UNP | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 26.0x | 23.3x | +2.66 | UNP | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $297.59B | $179.42B | $118.17B | CAT | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | CAT REV | UNP REV | CAT GROSS % | UNP GROSS % | CAT FCF | UNP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $67.59B | $24.51B | 99.9% | — | $8.92B | $5.50B |
| FY 2024 | $64.81B | $24.25B | 100.0% | — | $10.05B | $5.89B |
| FY 2023 | $67.06B | $24.12B | 99.8% | — | $11.29B | $7.29B |
| FY 2022 | $59.43B | — | 99.3% | — | $6.47B | — |
| FY 2021 | $50.97B | — | 30.3% | — | $6.11B | — |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
CAT // BETA 1.02
UNP // BETA 1.03