COMP <GO>
AFG vs ORI // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
American Financial Group Inc. (NYSE) VS. Old Republic International Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: AFG 5
— ORI 7
▲ 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA LEADER: ORI
LAST: $155.17 (+0.85%) • MKT CAP: $12.76B
macro-sensitivity
0.98
LAST: $38.93 (+1.06%) • MKT CAP: $9.30B
macro-sensitivity
1.00
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (AFG VS. ORI)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | AFG | ORI | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 5.70% | 7.30% | -1.60 | ORI | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 16.3x | 10.6x | +5.70 | ORI | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 9.18% | 8.12% | +1.06 | AFG | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 13.10% | 12.50% | +0.60 | AFG | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 10.30% | 10.20% | +0.10 | AFG | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -1.80% | 11.00% | -12.80 | ORI | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 4.77% | 8.43% | -3.66 | ORI | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | — | — | — | TIE | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 8/9 | -2.00 | ORI | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 68.4 | 46.7 | +21.70 | AFG | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | 0.98 | 1.00 | -0.02 | ORI | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 14.0x | 9.2x | +4.80 | ORI | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $12.76B | $9.30B | $3.46B | AFG | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | AFG REV | ORI REV | AFG GROSS % | ORI GROSS % | AFG FCF | ORI FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $8.17B | $9.14B | — | — | $1.17B | $753.2M |
| FY 2024 | $8.32B | $8.23B | — | — | $777.4M | $863.0M |
| FY 2023 | $7.83B | $7.26B | — | — | $1.62B | $553.8M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
AFG // BETA 0.98
ORI // BETA 1.00