COMP <GO>
AES vs OGE // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
The AES Corporation (NYSE) VS. OGE Energy Corp (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: AES 6
— OGE 8
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $14.83 (-1.46%) • MKT CAP: $10.58B
options-implied-move
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LAST: $49.47 (+0.20%) • MKT CAP: $10.23B
options-implied-move
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15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (AES VS. OGE)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | AES | OGE | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 18.10% | 60.50% | -42.40 | OGE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 6.70% | 6.10% | +0.60 | AES | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 3.5x | 16.9x | -13.40 | AES | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | -15.12% | 9.73% | -24.85 | OGE | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 9.10% | 25.10% | -16.00 | OGE | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 7.40% | 14.80% | -7.40 | OGE | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -0.40% | 9.40% | -9.80 | OGE | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 4.67% | 3.35% | +1.32 | AES | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 0.54 | 1.39 | -0.85 | OGE | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 3/9 | 8/9 | -5.00 | OGE | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 42.4 | 68.6 | -26.20 | OGE | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.75 | 0.55 | +0.20 | AES | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 11.0x | 20.2x | -9.20 | AES | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $10.58B | $10.23B | $353.6M | AES | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | AES REV | OGE REV | AES GROSS % | OGE GROSS % | AES FCF | OGE FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $12.23B | $3.19B | 18.1% | 60.5% | -$1.62B | $993.5M |
| FY 2024 | $12.28B | $2.92B | 18.8% | 63.1% | -$4.64B | $681.6M |
| FY 2023 | $12.67B | $2.61B | — | — | $2.46B | $1.11B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
AES // BETA 0.75
OGE // BETA 0.55