ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

WU // Western Union Company

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001365135 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$6.21 ▲ +0.12 (+1.97%)
MKT CAP: $1.94B • VOL: 6.97M
WU // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +36.9% vs NI -46.5% • ROIC-WACC +76.4% • Z 0.92
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 65% • VS 200D +5.3% • RSI 58.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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WU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.68%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $6.28H $6.28L $6.06C $6.21VOL 8.44M
RES: $6.25SUP: $5.66SMA50: $6.49SMA200: $8.07
$9.72$8.68$7.63$6.59$5.55RES $6.25SUP $5.66$6.212026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
WU // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Western Union Company (WU) exhibits 34.3% gross margins and 85.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 3.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 34.3% gross profitability converts into 19.5% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 85.0% // GM: 34.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -3.7% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -3.7% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.92 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.92 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 3.9x trailing P/E (3.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 3.9x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $6.21 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend 12.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 12.9% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 3.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 3.9x
FORWARD P/E 3.6x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 34.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 19.5%
NET MARGIN 12.9%
ROIC % 85.0%
REV GROWTH YOY -3.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.60
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // WUPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $5.68
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>