ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

VTOL // Bristow Group Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001525221 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Transportation Services
$42.05 ▲ +0.61 (+1.47%)
MKT CAP: $1.25B • VOL: 171.5K
VTOL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 72/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
72 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 74% • VS 200D +9.1% • RSI 59.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +15.9% • P/E 9x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
17 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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VTOL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.41%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $41.68H $42.50L $41.68C $42.05VOL 123.6K
RES: $45.35SUP: $36.93SMA50: $41.88SMA200: $44.05
$51.30$47.47$43.64$39.81$35.98RES $45.35SUP $36.93$42.052026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
VTOL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 47/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 8.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Transportation Services), balanced against a 10.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 10.7% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.3% paired with 15.92% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.3% // FCF YLD: 15.92%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.91 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.91 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 9.7x trailing P/E (9.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 9.7x // EV/EBITDA: 10.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $42.05 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Transportation Services require continuous execution to defend 8.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 8.7% // D/E: 0.61x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 9.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 9.7x
FORWARD P/E 9.0x
EV / EBITDA 10.1x
FCF YIELD 15.92%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 10.7%
NET MARGIN 8.7%
ROIC % 8.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.35
DEBT / EQUITY 0.61x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 58.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // VTOLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $38.48
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>