ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

VRA // Vera Bradley Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001495320 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Apparel
$6.64 ▲ +0.26 (+4.08%)
MKT CAP: $190.5M • VOL: 578.9K
VRA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // D- (RQD 43) -> D (RQD 46)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
46 / 100 +3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF +45.8% vs NI +23.2% • ROIC-WACC -30.9% • Z 3.21
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 98% • VS 200D +80.4% • RSI 78.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.05 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.15
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did VRA's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever VRA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

VRA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +61.95%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $6.38H $6.64L $6.38C $6.64VOL 578.9K
RES: $6.81SUP: $2.81SMA50: $4.62SMA200: $3.68
$7.04$5.84$4.63$3.43$2.23RES $6.81SUP $2.81$6.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
VRA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Vera Bradley Inc. (VRA) exhibits 46.4% gross margins and -22.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Apparel), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 46.4% gross profitability converts into -11.8% operating margin and -22.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -22.3% // GM: 46.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -15.4% paired with -6.96% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -15.4% // FCF YLD: -6.96%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.21 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.21 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $6.64 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Apparel require continuous execution to defend -17.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -17.7% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -6.96%
GROSS MARGIN 46.4%
OPERATING MARGIN -11.8%
NET MARGIN -17.7%
ROIC % -22.3%
REV GROWTH YOY -15.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 78.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // VRAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $6.08
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>