ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ULH // Universal Logistics Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001308208 ↗
Industrials • Trucking Freight/Courier Services
$17.42 ▲ +0.38 (+2.23%)
MKT CAP: $459.3M • VOL: 81.5K
ULH // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 39/100 [D-] (-4 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
35 / 100 -4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +70.5% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -11.5% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 40% • VS 200D +0.1% • RSI 49.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.23
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

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ULH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.00%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $17.04H $17.42L $17.04C $17.42VOL 81.5K
RES: $22.27SUP: $15.89SMA50: $17.75SMA200: $17.40
$23.67$20.43$17.20$13.96$10.73RES $22.27SUP $15.89$17.422026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
ULH // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. (ULH) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -4.2% return on invested capital within Industrials (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -4.1% operating margin and -4.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -4.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -15.6% paired with -8.95% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -15.6% // FCF YLD: -8.95%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $17.42 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Trucking Freight/Courier Services require continuous execution to defend -6.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -6.4% // D/E: 1.26x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -8.95%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -4.1%
NET MARGIN -6.4%
ROIC % -4.2%
REV GROWTH YOY -15.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.26x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.41%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ULHPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $15.94
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>