ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TWI // Titan International Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000899751 ↗
Materials • Steel/Iron Ore
$4.91 ▼ -1.71 (-25.83%)
MKT CAP: $316.9M • VOL: 3.25M
TWI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 22/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
22 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
6 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -120% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -3.3% • Z 1.78
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
3 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 12% • VS 200D -7.7% • RSI 19
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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TWI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.56%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $4.79H $4.99L $4.61C $4.91VOL 1.94M
RES: $8.35SUP: $5.22SMA50: $6.97SMA200: $7.82
$8.70$7.59$6.48$5.37$4.27RES $8.35SUP $5.22$4.912026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
TWI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 42/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Titan International Inc. (TWI) exhibits 13.9% gross margins and 5.3% return on invested capital within Materials (Steel/Iron Ore), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 13.9% gross profitability converts into 1.1% operating margin and 5.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.3% // GM: 13.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.9% paired with -7.76% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.9% // FCF YLD: -7.76%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.78 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.78 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.91 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Steel/Iron Ore require continuous execution to defend -3.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -3.3% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -7.76%
GROSS MARGIN 13.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.1%
NET MARGIN -3.3%
ROIC % 5.3%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 16.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TWIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $4.49
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>