ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TRN // Trinity Industries Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000099780 ↗
Industrials • Railroads
$28.32 ▲ +2.76 (+10.80%)
MKT CAP: $2.26B • VOL: 1.60M
TRN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 73/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 96% • VS 200D +11.2% • RSI 84
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +13.9% • P/E 7.5x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
18 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did TRN's Forensic 10-K Risk & Forensic Fundamentals sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever TRN is Upgraded or Downgraded.

TRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.16%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $28.92H $29.47L $28.01C $28.32VOL 1.54M
RES: $39.51SUP: $23.70SMA50: $27.25SMA200: $31.41
$39.29$35.22$31.15$27.09$23.02RES $39.51SUP $23.70$28.322026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
TRN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 65/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 58.6% return on invested capital within Industrials (Railroads), balanced against a 3.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 30.1% operating margin and 58.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 58.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -30.0% paired with 13.92% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -30.0% // FCF YLD: 13.92%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.88 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.88 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 8.1x trailing P/E (7.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 8.1x // EV/EBITDA: 3.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $28.32 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Railroads require continuous execution to defend 12.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 12.9% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 7.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 8.1x
FORWARD P/E 7.5x
EV / EBITDA 3.0x
FCF YIELD 13.92%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 30.1%
NET MARGIN 12.9%
ROIC % 58.6%
REV GROWTH YOY -30.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.48
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.37%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 70.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TRNPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $25.91
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TRN & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>