ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TOYO // TOYO Co. Ltd

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001985273 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Miscellaneous manufacturing industries
$4.53 ▼ -0.17 (-3.62%)
MKT CAP: $200.8M • VOL: 793.6K
TOYO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B (RQD 73) -> C (RQD 62)
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 -11D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +200% vs NI -2.3% • ROIC-WACC +33.3% • Z 1.72
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +20.5% • P/E 4.3x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.06 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.09
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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TOYO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $3.82H $4.70L $3.82C $4.53VOL 1.97M
RES: $4.67SUP: $3.68SMA50: $4.30SMA200: $7.95
$18.39$14.41$10.43$6.45$2.48RES $4.67SUP $3.68$4.532026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
TOYO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) exhibits 22.5% gross margins and 41.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Miscellaneous manufacturing industries), balanced against a 5.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 22.5% gross profitability converts into 13.8% operating margin and 41.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 41.9% // GM: 22.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +141.5% paired with 20.54% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +141.5% // FCF YLD: 20.54%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.72 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.72 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 5.1x trailing P/E (4.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 5.1x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.53 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Miscellaneous manufacturing industries require continuous execution to defend 9.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 9.3% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 4.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 5.1x
FORWARD P/E 4.3x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 20.54%
GROSS MARGIN 22.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.8%
NET MARGIN 9.3%
ROIC % 41.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +141.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.93
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TOYOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $4.15
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>