ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TMDX // TransMedics Group Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001756262 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus
$67.12 ▲ +0.22 (+0.33%)
MKT CAP: $2.33B • VOL: 991.4K
TMDX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 69/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
69 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +200% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC +9.5% • Z 3.5
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5.7% • P/E 10.2x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did TMDX's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever TMDX is Upgraded or Downgraded.

TMDX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.41%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $67.59H $67.75L $64.64C $67.12VOL 898.5K
RES: $111.3SUP: $75.69SMA50: $81.65SMA200: $94.48
$127.0$108.9$90.75$72.61$54.47RES $111.3SUP $75.69$67.122026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
TMDX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 70/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

TransMedics Group Inc. (TMDX) exhibits 59.9% gross margins and 18.1% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus), balanced against a 14.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 59.9% gross profitability converts into 17.9% operating margin and 18.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.1% // GM: 59.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +37.1% paired with 5.74% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +37.1% // FCF YLD: 5.74%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.50 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.50 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 12.2x trailing P/E (10.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 12.2x // EV/EBITDA: 14.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $67.12 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus require continuous execution to defend 31.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 31.4% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 12.2x
FORWARD P/E 10.2x
EV / EBITDA 14.6x
FCF YIELD 5.74%
GROSS MARGIN 59.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 17.9%
NET MARGIN 31.4%
ROIC % 18.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +37.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $5.49
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 28.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TMDXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $61.42
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TMDX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>