ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TC // Token Cat Limited

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001743340 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$1.11 ▲ +0.00 (0.00%)
MKT CAP: $29.3M • VOL: 70.3K
TC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 36/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
36 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
4 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -120% vs NI +101.3% • ROIC-WACC -29.2% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 66% • VS 200D +5.7% • RSI 53.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did TC's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever TC is Upgraded or Downgraded.

TC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -88.38%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.08H $1.11L $1.00C $1.11VOL 52.0K
RES: $4.55SUP: $0.98SMA50: $1.70SMA200: $6.60
$13.66$10.23$6.80$3.37$-0.06RES $4.55SUP $0.98$1.112026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
TC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Token Cat Limited (TC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -20.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 90.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -60.0% operating margin and -20.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -20.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -65.0% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -65.0% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 90.8x trailing P/E (84.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 90.8x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1.11 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend 38.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 38.1% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 84.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 90.8x
FORWARD P/E 84.4x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -60.0%
NET MARGIN 38.1%
ROIC % -20.6%
REV GROWTH YOY -65.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.01
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 22.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $1.02
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TC & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>