ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SVCO // Silvaco Group Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001943289 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
$6.73 ▼ -0.15 (-2.18%)
MKT CAP: $228.1M • VOL: 225.2K
SVCO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 32/100 [E] (-9 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
23 / 100 -9D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
3 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -70.2% vs NI -4.6% • ROIC-WACC -43.6% • Z 1.44
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
6 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 32% • VS 200D -13.2% • RSI 46.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
3 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.22
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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SVCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.93%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $6.88H $6.88L $6.73C $6.73VOL 225.2K
RES: $10.01SUP: $5.83SMA50: $7.18SMA200: $7.75
$15.03$12.37$9.72$7.06$4.41RES $10.01SUP $5.83$6.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
SVCO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Silvaco Group Inc. (SVCO) exhibits 78.3% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 78.3% gross profitability converts into -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: 78.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.7% paired with -15.14% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.7% // FCF YLD: -15.14%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.44 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.44 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $6.73 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -15.14%
GROSS MARGIN 78.3%
OPERATING MARGIN -60.0%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -35.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SVCOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $6.16
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>