ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SIGA // SIGA Technologies Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001010086 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations
$3.04 ▼ -0.14 (-4.40%)
MKT CAP: $228.5M • VOL: 504.7K
SIGA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 72/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
72 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
20 / 20
STRONG
FCF -10.8% vs NI -60.7% • ROIC-WACC +34.1% • Z 8.22
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +19% • P/E 9.1x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did SIGA's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SIGA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SIGA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.34%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $3.03H $3.04L $2.91C $3.04VOL 288.9K
RES: $3.43SUP: $3.10SMA50: $3.18SMA200: $4.36
$7.14$5.97$4.80$3.64$2.47RES $3.43SUP $3.10$3.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
SIGA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 53/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

SIGA Technologies Inc. (SIGA) exhibits 68.6% gross margins and 42.7% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), balanced against a 4.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 68.6% gross profitability converts into 25.1% operating margin and 42.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 42.7% // GM: 68.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -31.8% paired with 19.03% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -31.8% // FCF YLD: 19.03%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.22 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.22 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 9.8x trailing P/E (9.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 9.8x // EV/EBITDA: 4.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $3.04 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations require continuous execution to defend 24.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 24.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 9.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 9.8x
FORWARD P/E 9.1x
EV / EBITDA 4.8x
FCF YIELD 19.03%
GROSS MARGIN 68.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 25.1%
NET MARGIN 24.6%
ROIC % 42.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -31.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.32
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 36.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SIGAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $2.78
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SIGA & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>