ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

RGS // Regis Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000716643 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Other Consumer Services
$29.78 ▲ +0.34 (+1.16%)
MKT CAP: $74.5M • VOL: 2.3K
RGS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 50/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
50 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 38% • VS 200D -3.8% • RSI 50.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +16.7% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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RGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.29%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $28.59H $29.78L $28.59C $29.78VOL 2.0K
RES: $29.87SUP: $27.05SMA50: $28.45SMA200: $26.52
$31.40$29.47$27.54$25.61$23.68RES $29.87SUP $27.05$29.782026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
RGS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Regis Corporation (RGS) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 5.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Other Consumer Services), balanced against a 8.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 9.5% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.5% paired with 16.72% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.5% // FCF YLD: 16.72%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.73 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.73 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 8.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $29.78 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Consumer Services require continuous execution to defend 58.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 58.8% // D/E: 0.59x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 8.0x
FCF YIELD 16.72%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 9.5%
NET MARGIN 58.8%
ROIC % 5.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.59x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 58.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RGSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $27.25
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>