ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

RGR // Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000095029 ↗
Industrials • Ordnance And Accessories
$45.78 ▼ -0.61 (-1.31%)
MKT CAP: $731.5M • VOL: 300.9K
RGR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // D (RQD 49) -> D+ (RQD 58)
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
58 / 100 +9D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +10.9% vs NI -114.4% • ROIC-WACC -12.3% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 78% • VS 200D +15.1% • RSI 55.4
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.16
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did RGR's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever RGR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

RGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.69%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $46.39H $46.39L $45.78C $45.78VOL 300.9K
RES: $51.61SUP: $37.26SMA50: $41.92SMA200: $39.77
$51.86$47.64$43.42$39.20$34.98RES $51.61SUP $37.26$45.782026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
RGR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 37/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Sturm Ruger & Company Inc. (RGR) exhibits 14.9% gross margins and -3.7% return on invested capital within Industrials (Ordnance And Accessories), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 14.9% gross profitability converts into -2.3% operating margin and -3.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -3.7% // GM: 14.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.9% paired with 5.26% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.9% // FCF YLD: 5.26%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $45.78 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Ordnance And Accessories require continuous execution to defend -0.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -0.8% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 5.26%
GROSS MARGIN 14.9%
OPERATING MARGIN -2.3%
NET MARGIN -0.8%
ROIC % -3.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.38%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RGRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $41.89
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for RGR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>