ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

QUAD // Quad Graphics Inc (Class A)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001481792 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Publishing
$7.70 ▼ -1.70 (-18.08%)
MKT CAP: $396.3M • VOL: 1.26M
QUAD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 47/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
47 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -9% vs NI +153% • ROIC-WACC +13.2% • Z 1.62
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +12.8% • P/E 13.7x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did QUAD's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever QUAD is Upgraded or Downgraded.

QUAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.49%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $7.46H $7.88L $7.16C $7.70VOL 742.0K
RES: $9.82SUP: $9.29SMA50: $9.60SMA200: $8.09
$11.49$10.09$8.69$7.29$5.89RES $9.82SUP $9.29$7.702026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
QUAD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Quad Graphics Inc (Class A) (QUAD) exhibits 21.6% gross margins and 19.7% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Publishing), balanced against a 4.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 21.6% gross profitability converts into 4.0% operating margin and 19.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 19.7% // GM: 21.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -9.4% paired with 12.79% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -9.4% // FCF YLD: 12.79%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.62 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.62 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 14.7x trailing P/E (13.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 14.7x // EV/EBITDA: 4.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $7.70 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Publishing require continuous execution to defend 1.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.1% // D/E: 2.51x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 13.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 14.7x
FORWARD P/E 13.7x
EV / EBITDA 4.8x
FCF YIELD 12.79%
GROSS MARGIN 21.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.0%
NET MARGIN 1.1%
ROIC % 19.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -9.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.52
DEBT / EQUITY 2.51x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.63%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 23.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // QUADPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $7.05
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>