ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PTRN // Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001811935 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Catalog/Specialty Distribution
$16.89 ▲ +0.18 (+1.08%)
MKT CAP: $3.00B • VOL: 848.2K
PTRN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 70/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
70 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +58.2% vs NI -76.1% • ROIC-WACC -1.7% • Z 8.25
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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PTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.39%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $16.34H $16.89L $16.15C $16.89VOL 1.26M
RES: $16.85SUP: $14.05SMA50: $18.65SMA200: $17.51
$31.04$25.90$20.76$15.62$10.47RES $16.85SUP $14.05$16.892026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PTRN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 63/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) (PTRN) exhibits 43.6% gross margins and 6.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), balanced against a 63.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 43.6% gross profitability converts into 1.0% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.9% // GM: 43.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +39.3% paired with 2.63% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +39.3% // FCF YLD: 2.63%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.25 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.25 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 63.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $16.89 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Catalog/Specialty Distribution require continuous execution to defend 0.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 63.2x
FCF YIELD 2.63%
GROSS MARGIN 43.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.0%
NET MARGIN 0.6%
ROIC % 6.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +39.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 41.1
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PTRNPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $15.45
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PTRN & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>