ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PTLE // PTL LTD (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002016337 ↗
Energy • Oil Refining/Marketing
$9.45 ▼ -0.16 (-1.66%)
MKT CAP: $60.4M • VOL: 103.1K
PTLE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // E (RQD 33) -> D- (RQD 41)
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
41 / 100 +8D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF +0% vs NI +76.3% • ROIC-WACC -12.5% • Z 17.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 18% • VS 200D +25.6% • RSI 65.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.01 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.01
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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PTLE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +60.17%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $9.47H $9.61L $9.45C $9.45VOL 411.2K
RES: $10.07SUP: $7.14SMA50: $7.77SMA200: $7.65
$12.11$10.05$7.98$5.92$3.86RES $10.07SUP $7.14$9.452026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PTLE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

PTL LTD (Class A) (PTLE) exhibits 1.3% gross margins and -3.9% return on invested capital within Energy (Oil Refining/Marketing), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 1.3% gross profitability converts into -0.6% operating margin and -3.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -3.9% // GM: 1.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -27.0% paired with -20.25% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -27.0% // FCF YLD: -20.25%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 17.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 17.20 // F-SCORE: 2/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.45 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Oil Refining/Marketing require continuous execution to defend -1.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -1.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -20.25%
GROSS MARGIN 1.3%
OPERATING MARGIN -0.6%
NET MARGIN -1.6%
ROIC % -3.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -27.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 65.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PTLEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $8.65
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>