ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ONT // Onterris Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001643615 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Professional Services
$14.90 ▲ +0.35 (+2.40%)
MKT CAP: $523.2M • VOL: 331.3K
ONT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 56/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
56 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 77% • VS 200D +10.2% • RSI 62.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF YIELD +17.4% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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ONT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $14.45H $15.13L $14.45C $14.90VOL 568.8K
RES: $24.18SUP: $10.79SMA50: $15.57SMA200: $19.35
$26.17$22.40$18.63$14.86$11.09RES $24.18SUP $10.79$14.902026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ONT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Onterris Inc. (ONT) exhibits 40.3% gross margins and 1.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Professional Services), balanced against a 30.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 40.3% gross profitability converts into 1.4% operating margin and 1.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 1.3% // GM: 40.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +19.3% paired with 17.42% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +19.3% // FCF YLD: 17.42%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.18 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.18 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 30.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $14.90 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Professional Services require continuous execution to defend -0.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -0.1% // D/E: 0.61x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 30.8x
FCF YIELD 17.42%
GROSS MARGIN 40.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.4%
NET MARGIN -0.1%
ROIC % 1.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +19.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.61x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.79%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ONTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $13.63
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>