ROARABLE // PRO
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ONEW // OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001772921 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto & Home Supply Stores
$9.58 ▲ +0.14 (+1.48%)
MKT CAP: $159.7M • VOL: 167.7K
ONEW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 38/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
38 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +200% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -18.6% • Z 1.3
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 46% • VS 200D -1.2% • RSI 53
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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ONEW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.02%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $9.59H $9.70L $9.26C $9.58VOL 125.6K
RES: $11.23SUP: $8.39SMA50: $10.25SMA200: $11.08
$14.62$13.01$11.39$9.78$8.17RES $11.23SUP $8.39$9.582026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ONEW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 34/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) exhibits 22.8% gross margins and -11.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto & Home Supply Stores), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 22.8% gross profitability converts into -4.6% operating margin and -11.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -11.2% // GM: 22.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.6% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.6% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.30 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.30 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.58 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto & Home Supply Stores require continuous execution to defend -6.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -6.1% // D/E: 1.17x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 22.8%
OPERATING MARGIN -4.6%
NET MARGIN -6.1%
ROIC % -11.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.17x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ONEWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $8.77
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>