ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NTCT // NetScout Systems Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001078075 ↗
Technology • EDP Services
$39.35 ▼ -0.18 (-0.45%)
MKT CAP: $2.86B • VOL: 384.5K
NTCT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +34.5% vs NI +126% • ROIC-WACC -0.7% • Z 3.28
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did NTCT's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever NTCT is Upgraded or Downgraded.

NTCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.77%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $38.76H $39.35L $37.79C $39.35VOL 523.7K
RES: $43.12SUP: $33.70SMA50: $38.96SMA200: $36.36
$46.54$41.34$36.14$30.94$25.74RES $43.12SUP $33.70$39.352026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
NTCT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) exhibits 79.4% gross margins and 7.9% return on invested capital within Technology (EDP Services), balanced against a 19.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 79.4% gross profitability converts into 12.8% operating margin and 7.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 7.9% // GM: 79.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.5% paired with 9.98% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.5% // FCF YLD: 9.98%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.28 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.28 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 30.0x trailing P/E (27.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 30.0x // EV/EBITDA: 19.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $39.35 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in EDP Services require continuous execution to defend 11.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 11.1% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 27.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 30.0x
FORWARD P/E 27.9x
EV / EBITDA 19.7x
FCF YIELD 9.98%
GROSS MARGIN 79.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 12.8%
NET MARGIN 11.1%
ROIC % 7.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.31
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NTCTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $36.01
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NTCT & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>