ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MOMO // Hello Group Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001610601 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
$4.44 ▼ -0.03 (-0.67%)
MKT CAP: $656.0M • VOL: 533.0K
MOMO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 69/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
69 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -46.8% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +8.4% • Z 3.49
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +15.1% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
18 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did MOMO's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MOMO is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MOMO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.85%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $4.43H $4.49L $4.36C $4.44VOL 576.1K
RES: $5.52SUP: $4.42SMA50: $4.96SMA200: $5.82
$7.18$6.42$5.65$4.89$4.12RES $5.52SUP $4.42$4.442026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
MOMO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 53/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) exhibits 37.8% gross margins and 18.6% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 37.8% gross profitability converts into 13.1% operating margin and 18.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.6% // GM: 37.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.4% paired with 15.05% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.4% // FCF YLD: 15.05%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.49 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.49 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.44 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 15.05%
GROSS MARGIN 37.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.1%
NET MARGIN —
ROIC % 18.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 25.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MOMOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $4.06
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MOMO & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>