ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MLCO // Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001381640 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Hotels/Resorts
$3.84 ▲ +0.11 (+2.95%)
MKT CAP: $1.51B • VOL: 1.77M
MLCO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 62/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 69% • VS 200D +6.7% • RSI 62.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +0% • P/E 7.6x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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MLCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.45%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $3.83H $3.95L $3.83C $3.84VOL 1.74M
RES: $5.46SUP: $3.64SMA50: $4.57SMA200: $5.39
$7.91$6.76$5.61$4.46$3.31RES $5.46SUP $3.64$3.842026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
MLCO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 52/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 10.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Hotels/Resorts), balanced against a 12.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 11.6% operating margin and 10.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +11.3% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +11.3% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.35 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.35 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 8.2x trailing P/E (7.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 8.2x // EV/EBITDA: 12.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $3.84 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Hotels/Resorts require continuous execution to defend 3.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 7.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 8.2x
FORWARD P/E 7.6x
EV / EBITDA 12.1x
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 11.6%
NET MARGIN 3.6%
ROIC % 10.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +11.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.47
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.01%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 39.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MLCOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $3.51
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>