ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MAGN // Magnera Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000041719 ↗
Materials • Paper
$12.08 ▲ +0.26 (+2.20%)
MKT CAP: $432.5M • VOL: 318.4K
MAGN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 48/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
48 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 59% • VS 200D +1.9% • RSI 57.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF YIELD +8.3% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did MAGN's Forensic Fundamentals & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MAGN is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MAGN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.04%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.08H $12.24L $11.76C $12.08VOL 253.2K
RES: $12.93SUP: $10.10SMA50: $11.78SMA200: $11.92
$15.04$13.59$12.15$10.71$9.26RES $12.93SUP $10.10$12.082026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
MAGN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 62/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Magnera Corporation (MAGN) exhibits 10.5% gross margins and 0.1% return on invested capital within Materials (Paper), balanced against a 33.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 10.5% gross profitability converts into 0.2% operating margin and 0.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.1% // GM: 10.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +46.5% paired with 8.32% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +46.5% // FCF YLD: 8.32%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.10 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.10 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 33.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.08 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Paper require continuous execution to defend -5.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -5.0% // D/E: 1.86x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 33.9x
FCF YIELD 8.32%
GROSS MARGIN 10.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 0.2%
NET MARGIN -5.0%
ROIC % 0.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +46.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.86x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MAGNPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.05
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MAGN & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>