ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

KOP // Koppers Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001315257 ↗
Materials • Forest Products
$41.86 ▼ -0.22 (-0.52%)
MKT CAP: $791.6M • VOL: 101.7K
KOP // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 60/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +60.7% vs NI +6.9% • ROIC-WACC +1.9% • Z 2.33
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +8.5% • P/E 13.1x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did KOP's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever KOP is Upgraded or Downgraded.

KOP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.52%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $41.71H $42.00L $40.92C $41.86VOL 107.6K
RES: $59.49SUP: $38.84SMA50: $44.82SMA200: $41.55
$54.52$48.23$41.95$35.66$29.38RES $59.49SUP $38.84$41.862026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
KOP // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) exhibits 23.8% gross margins and 8.9% return on invested capital within Materials (Forest Products), balanced against a 8.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 23.8% gross profitability converts into 8.9% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.9% // GM: 23.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -10.2% paired with 8.53% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -10.2% // FCF YLD: 8.53%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.33 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.33 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 14.1x trailing P/E (13.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 14.1x // EV/EBITDA: 8.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $41.86 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Forest Products require continuous execution to defend 3.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.0% // D/E: 1.59x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 13.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 14.1x
FORWARD P/E 13.1x
EV / EBITDA 8.0x
FCF YIELD 8.53%
GROSS MARGIN 23.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.9%
NET MARGIN 3.0%
ROIC % 8.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -10.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.96
DEBT / EQUITY 1.59x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.81%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 39.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KOPPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $38.30
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>