ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

KNF // Knife Riv Holding Co.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001955520 ↗
Materials • Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
$57.60 ▲ +3.35 (+6.18%)
MKT CAP: $3.27B • VOL: 575.5K
KNF // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 70/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
70 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -13.6% vs NI -22.1% • ROIC-WACC +0.2% • Z 2.68
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +8.5% • P/E 19.3x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did KNF's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever KNF is Upgraded or Downgraded.

KNF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $56.99H $59.00L $56.78C $57.60VOL 497.0K
RES: $59.60SUP: $45.25SMA50: $55.69SMA200: $74.17
$99.67$85.61$71.55$57.49$43.43RES $59.60SUP $45.25$57.602026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
KNF // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) exhibits 18.4% gross margins and 8.3% return on invested capital within Materials (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), balanced against a 15.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 18.4% gross profitability converts into 9.1% operating margin and 8.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.3% // GM: 18.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.5% paired with 8.52% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.5% // FCF YLD: 8.52%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.68 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.68 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 20.8x trailing P/E (19.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 20.8x // EV/EBITDA: 15.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $57.60 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) require continuous execution to defend 5.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.0% // D/E: 0.70x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 20.8x
FORWARD P/E 19.3x
EV / EBITDA 15.2x
FCF YIELD 8.52%
GROSS MARGIN 18.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.1%
NET MARGIN 5.0%
ROIC % 8.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.77
DEBT / EQUITY 0.70x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KNFPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $52.71
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for KNF & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>