ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

JOUT // Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000788329 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Recreational Games/Products/Toys
$46.22 ▲ +1.04 (+2.30%)
MKT CAP: $484.4M • VOL: 32.7K
JOUT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C- (RQD 59) -> D (RQD 50)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
50 / 100 -9D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +37.1% vs NI -29.3% • ROIC-WACC -13.1% • Z 3.79
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 59% • VS 200D -0.5% • RSI 61.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 8 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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JOUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.98%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $45.18H $46.22L $45.18C $46.22VOL 32.7K
RES: $50.49SUP: $40.74SMA50: $44.59SMA200: $46.46
$54.63$50.12$45.62$41.12$36.61RES $50.49SUP $40.74$46.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
JOUT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 35/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (Class A) (JOUT) exhibits 35.1% gross margins and -4.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 35.1% gross profitability converts into -2.7% operating margin and -4.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -4.5% // GM: 35.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.1% paired with 11.60% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.1% // FCF YLD: 11.60%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.79 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.79 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $46.22 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Recreational Games/Products/Toys require continuous execution to defend -5.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -5.8% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 11.60%
GROSS MARGIN 35.1%
OPERATING MARGIN -2.7%
NET MARGIN -5.8%
ROIC % -4.5%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.79%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.1
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // JOUTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $42.29
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>