ROARABLE // PRO
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IBTA // Ibotta Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001538379 ↗
Communication Services • Advertising
$49.40 ▲ +0.97 (+2.00%)
MKT CAP: $1.14B • VOL: 189.2K
IBTA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // C (RQD 63) -> C+ (RQD 67)
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 +4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -34.8% vs NI -94.8% • ROIC-WACC -9.3% • Z 3.62
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 96% • VS 200D +49.7% • RSI 68.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.14 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.09
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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IBTA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +38.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $48.43H $49.40L $48.43C $49.40VOL 189.2K
RES: $51.93SUP: $18.14SMA50: $42.47SMA200: $32.99
$52.40$44.66$36.92$29.18$21.44RES $51.93SUP $18.14$49.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
IBTA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 35/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Ibotta Inc. (Class A) (IBTA) exhibits 79.2% gross margins and -0.7% return on invested capital within Communication Services (Advertising), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 79.2% gross profitability converts into -0.2% operating margin and -0.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -0.7% // GM: 79.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -6.8% paired with 6.55% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -6.8% // FCF YLD: 6.55%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.62 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.62 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $49.40 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Advertising require continuous execution to defend 1.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 6.55%
GROSS MARGIN 79.2%
OPERATING MARGIN -0.2%
NET MARGIN 1.0%
ROIC % -0.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -6.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 68.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // IBTAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $45.20
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>