ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HLF // Herbalife Ltd.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001180262 ↗
Health Care • Other Pharmaceuticals
$12.93 ▼ -0.45 (-3.36%)
MKT CAP: $1.36B • VOL: 1.65M
HLF // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 65/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +54.8% vs NI -10.2% • ROIC-WACC +25.8% • Z 2.39
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +18.7% • P/E 5.5x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did HLF's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever HLF is Upgraded or Downgraded.

HLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.11%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $13.01H $13.26L $12.83C $12.93VOL 1.52M
RES: $15.26SUP: $9.86SMA50: $12.71SMA200: $14.01
$17.44$15.53$13.63$11.72$9.82RES $15.26SUP $9.86$12.932026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
HLF // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 63/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) exhibits 77.9% gross margins and 34.4% return on invested capital within Health Care (Other Pharmaceuticals), balanced against a 5.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 77.9% gross profitability converts into 9.5% operating margin and 34.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 34.4% // GM: 77.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.9% paired with 18.66% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.9% // FCF YLD: 18.66%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.39 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.39 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 5.9x trailing P/E (5.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 5.9x // EV/EBITDA: 5.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.93 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Pharmaceuticals require continuous execution to defend 4.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 4.5% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 5.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 5.9x
FORWARD P/E 5.5x
EV / EBITDA 5.4x
FCF YIELD 18.66%
GROSS MARGIN 77.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.5%
NET MARGIN 4.5%
ROIC % 34.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.18
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 47.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HLFPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.83
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>