ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ETON // Eton Pharmaceuticals Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001710340 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations
$53.67 ▲ +1.87 (+3.61%)
MKT CAP: $1.53B • VOL: 369.5K
ETON // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C (RQD 62) -> D+ (RQD 58)
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
58 / 100 -4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +0% vs NI -20.4% • ROIC-WACC -8.8% • Z 13.37
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.03 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.19
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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ETON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +77.95%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $51.80H $53.67L $51.80C $53.67VOL 369.5K
RES: $71.33SUP: $50.30SMA50: $55.81SMA200: $35.90
$69.73$55.80$41.86$27.92$13.98RES $71.33SUP $50.30$53.672026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
ETON // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Eton Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ETON) exhibits 53.5% gross margins and -0.9% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 53.5% gross profitability converts into -1.1% operating margin and -0.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -0.9% // GM: 53.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +104.9% paired with 0.66% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +104.9% // FCF YLD: 0.66%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 13.37 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 13.37 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $53.67 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations require continuous execution to defend -5.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -5.8% // D/E: 0.83x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 0.66%
GROSS MARGIN 53.5%
OPERATING MARGIN -1.1%
NET MARGIN -5.8%
ROIC % -0.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +104.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.83x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ETONPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $49.11
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>