ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

EBS // Emergent BioSolutions Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001367644 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations
$7.22 ▲ +0.13 (+1.83%)
MKT CAP: $370.2M • VOL: 682.4K
EBS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 53/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
53 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +200% vs NI +127.6% • ROIC-WACC +1.4% • Z 1.41
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +0% • P/E 6.5x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did EBS's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever EBS is Upgraded or Downgraded.

EBS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.27%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $7.11H $7.31L $6.76C $7.22VOL 754.4K
RES: $7.27SUP: $6.17SMA50: $6.47SMA200: $8.01
$10.14$8.57$7.01$5.44$3.87RES $7.27SUP $6.17$7.222026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
EBS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 30/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) exhibits 56.1% gross margins and 8.9% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), balanced against a 6.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 56.1% gross profitability converts into 13.5% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.9% // GM: 56.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -28.8% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -28.8% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.41 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.41 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 7.0x trailing P/E (6.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 7.0x // EV/EBITDA: 6.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $7.22 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations require continuous execution to defend 7.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.1% // D/E: 1.09x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 6.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 7.0x
FORWARD P/E 6.5x
EV / EBITDA 6.6x
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 56.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.5%
NET MARGIN 7.1%
ROIC % 8.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -28.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.03
DEBT / EQUITY 1.09x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 53.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // EBSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $6.61
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for EBS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>