ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DEC // Diversified Energy Company

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001922446 ↗
Industrials • Diversified Equities
$14.61 ▼ -0.06 (-0.41%)
MKT CAP: $1.12B • VOL: 852.2K
DEC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 51/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
51 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +66.1% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC +5.1% • Z 0.51
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +25% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did DEC's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever DEC is Upgraded or Downgraded.

DEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.25%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $14.58H $14.84L $14.38C $14.61VOL 1.23M
RES: $17.31SUP: $13.49SMA50: $14.43SMA200: $14.44
$17.20$15.90$14.60$13.30$12.00RES $17.31SUP $13.49$14.612026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
DEC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Diversified Energy Company (DEC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 11.5% return on invested capital within Industrials (Diversified Equities), balanced against a 5.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 29.2% operating margin and 11.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 11.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +141.5% paired with 24.97% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +141.5% // FCF YLD: 24.97%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.51 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.51 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 5.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $14.61 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Diversified Equities require continuous execution to defend 18.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 18.6% // D/E: 2.76x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 5.5x
FCF YIELD 24.97%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 29.2%
NET MARGIN 18.6%
ROIC % 11.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +141.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 2.76x
DIVIDEND YIELD 7.58%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 51.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DECPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $13.37
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for DEC & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>