ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CRAI // CRA International Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001053706 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Other Consumer Services
$196.77 ▲ +3.93 (+2.04%)
MKT CAP: $1.24B • VOL: 57.5K
CRAI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 67/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 74% • VS 200D +8.9% • RSI 61.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +1.5% • P/E 20.9x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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CRAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.96%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $200.7H $202.8L $195.7C $196.8VOL 104.9K
RES: $207.2SUP: $153.1SMA50: $174.5SMA200: $166.0
$210.0$188.9$167.8$146.7$125.6RES $207.2SUP $153.1$196.82026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CRAI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 67/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

CRA International Inc. (CRAI) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 33.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Other Consumer Services), balanced against a 14.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 11.1% operating margin and 33.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 33.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +9.3% paired with 1.50% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +9.3% // FCF YLD: 1.50%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 22.5x trailing P/E (20.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 22.5x // EV/EBITDA: 14.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $196.77 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Consumer Services require continuous execution to defend 7.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.3% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 22.5x
FORWARD P/E 20.9x
EV / EBITDA 14.1x
FCF YIELD 1.50%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 11.1%
NET MARGIN 7.3%
ROIC % 33.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +9.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $8.73
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.12%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 66.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CRAIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $180.05
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>