ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CNNE // Cannae Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001704720 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Restaurants
$17.15 ▲ +0.30 (+1.78%)
MKT CAP: $743.9M • VOL: 466.2K
CNNE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D- (RQD 35) -> E (RQD 34)
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
34 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
6 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF +79.9% vs NI -68.5% • ROIC-WACC -20.5% • Z 1.5
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 84% • VS 200D +20.8% • RSI 71.4
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.14 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.31
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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CNNE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.32%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $16.85H $17.15L $16.85C $17.15VOL 466.2K
RES: $17.14SUP: $16.00SMA50: $15.78SMA200: $14.20
$17.63$16.15$14.67$13.20$11.72RES $17.14SUP $16.00$17.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
CNNE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Cannae Holdings Inc. (CNNE) exhibits 15.5% gross margins and -10.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Restaurants), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 15.5% gross profitability converts into -28.2% operating margin and -10.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -10.6% // GM: 15.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -6.4% paired with -2.43% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -6.4% // FCF YLD: -2.43%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.50 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.50 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $17.15 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Restaurants require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.06x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -2.43%
GROSS MARGIN 15.5%
OPERATING MARGIN -28.2%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -10.6%
REV GROWTH YOY -6.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.06x
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.10%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 71.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CNNEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $15.69
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>