ROARABLE // PRO
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CMT // Core Molding Technologies Inc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001026655 ↗
Industrials • Plastic Products
$22.52 ▲ +0.33 (+1.49%)
MKT CAP: $199.3M • VOL: 29.2K
CMT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 60/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 67% • VS 200D +4% • RSI 58.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
17 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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CMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $22.71H $23.11L $22.23C $22.52VOL 26.1K
RES: $29.35SUP: $21.80SMA50: $23.59SMA200: $23.07
$28.38$26.09$23.79$21.49$19.20RES $29.35SUP $21.80$22.522026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CMT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) exhibits 17.4% gross margins and 8.2% return on invested capital within Industrials (Plastic Products), balanced against a 6.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 17.4% gross profitability converts into 5.2% operating margin and 8.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.2% // GM: 17.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -9.5% paired with 0.96% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -9.5% // FCF YLD: 0.96%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.38 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.38 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 17.8x trailing P/E (16.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 17.8x // EV/EBITDA: 6.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $22.52 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Plastic Products require continuous execution to defend 4.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 4.1% // D/E: 0.11x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 17.8x
FORWARD P/E 16.6x
EV / EBITDA 6.2x
FCF YIELD 0.96%
GROSS MARGIN 17.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 5.2%
NET MARGIN 4.1%
ROIC % 8.2%
REV GROWTH YOY -9.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.27
DEBT / EQUITY 0.11x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.1
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CMTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $20.61
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>