ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CENT // Central Garden & Pet Company

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000887733 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Consumer Specialties
$45.10 ▲ +0.67 (+1.51%)
MKT CAP: $2.82B • VOL: 76.9K
CENT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -17.2% vs NI +50.8% • ROIC-WACC +1.7% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +10.3% • P/E 16.1x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did CENT's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever CENT is Upgraded or Downgraded.

CENT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.83%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $45.40H $45.95L $45.10C $45.10VOL 90.4K
RES: $47.39SUP: $37.60SMA50: $41.70SMA200: $39.91
$48.24$44.61$40.97$37.34$33.71RES $47.39SUP $37.60$45.102026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CENT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT) exhibits 31.9% gross margins and 9.7% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Consumer Specialties), balanced against a 11.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 31.9% gross profitability converts into 8.0% operating margin and 9.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.7% // GM: 31.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.2% paired with 10.31% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.2% // FCF YLD: 10.31%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 17.3x trailing P/E (16.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 17.3x // EV/EBITDA: 11.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $45.10 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Consumer Specialties require continuous execution to defend 5.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.2% // D/E: 0.76x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 17.3x
FORWARD P/E 16.1x
EV / EBITDA 11.5x
FCF YIELD 10.31%
GROSS MARGIN 31.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.0%
NET MARGIN 5.2%
ROIC % 9.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.60
DEBT / EQUITY 0.76x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 72.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CENTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $41.27
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CENT & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>