ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CDZI // CADIZ Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000727273 ↗
Utilities • Water Supply
$4.71 ▼ -0.01 (-0.21%)
MKT CAP: $398.8M • VOL: 2.64M
CDZI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 34/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
34 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
6 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -18% vs NI -9.7% • ROIC-WACC -29.4% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 54% • VS 200D +0.9% • RSI 50.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

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CDZI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.78%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $4.60H $4.71L $4.41C $4.71VOL 1.18M
RES: $4.79SUP: $3.19SMA50: $3.87SMA200: $4.37
$5.35$4.68$4.01$3.33$2.66RES $4.79SUP $3.19$4.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CDZI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 57/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

CADIZ Inc. (CDZI) exhibits 31.6% gross margins and -23.1% return on invested capital within Utilities (Water Supply), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 31.6% gross profitability converts into -60.0% operating margin and -23.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -23.1% // GM: 31.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +69.8% paired with -6.65% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +69.8% // FCF YLD: -6.65%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Water Supply require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 3.13x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -6.65%
GROSS MARGIN 31.6%
OPERATING MARGIN -60.0%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -23.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +69.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 3.13x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.28%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CDZIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $4.31
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>