ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CDXS // Codexis Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001200375 ↗
Materials • Major Chemicals
$1.19 ▼ -0.03 (-2.46%)
MKT CAP: $133.6M • VOL: 789.5K
CDXS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 34/100 [E] (-11 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
23 / 100 -11D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF +55.6% vs NI +32.6% • ROIC-WACC -42.9% • Z 0.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
3 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 13% • VS 200D -32.6% • RSI 40.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
4 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.04 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.32
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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CDXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.59%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $1.26H $1.26L $1.19C $1.19VOL 917.3K
RES: $1.26SUP: $1.18SMA50: $1.39SMA200: $1.81
$3.11$2.58$2.06$1.53$1.01RES $1.26SUP $1.18$1.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
CDXS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Codexis Inc. (CDXS) exhibits 86.7% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Materials (Major Chemicals), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 86.7% gross profitability converts into -59.3% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: 86.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +18.6% paired with -17.85% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +18.6% // FCF YLD: -17.85%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.20 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1.19 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Chemicals require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.79x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -17.85%
GROSS MARGIN 86.7%
OPERATING MARGIN -59.3%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -35.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +18.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.79x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CDXSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $1.09
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>