ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CBU // Community Financial System Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000723188 ↗
Financials • Major Banks
$63.37 ▲ +0.60 (+0.96%)
MKT CAP: $3.33B • VOL: 251.5K
CBU // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +5.3% vs NI +15.3% • ROIC-WACC +1.5% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +7% • P/E 14.7x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did CBU's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever CBU is Upgraded or Downgraded.

CBU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.02%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $63.90H $64.15L $61.97C $63.37VOL 262.2K
RES: $59.86SUP: $55.78SMA50: $61.53SMA200: $62.88
$72.10$68.01$63.92$59.83$55.74RES $59.86SUP $55.78$63.372026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CBU // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Community Financial System Inc. (CBU) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 10.5% return on invested capital within Financials (Major Banks), balanced against a 15.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 10.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +9.6% paired with 7.00% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +9.6% // FCF YLD: 7.00%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 15.8x trailing P/E (14.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 15.8x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $63.37 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Banks require continuous execution to defend 25.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 25.7% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 14.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 15.8x
FORWARD P/E 14.7x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 7.00%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN 25.7%
ROIC % 10.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +9.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.00
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.93%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CBUPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $57.99
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CBU & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>