ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BTBD // BT Brands Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001718224 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Restaurants
$1.83 ▼ -0.05 (-2.66%)
MKT CAP: $11.3M • VOL: 19.1K
BTBD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 45/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
45 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +109.3% vs NI +70.2% • ROIC-WACC -12.5% • Z 2.58
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 53% • VS 200D +1.1% • RSI 43.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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BTBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.61%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.73H $1.84L $1.73C $1.83VOL 8.1K
RES: $2.22SUP: $1.58SMA50: $1.70SMA200: $1.45
$2.26$1.93$1.59$1.26$0.93RES $2.22SUP $1.58$1.832026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
BTBD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 32/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -3.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Restaurants), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -2.7% operating margin and -3.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -3.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -9.0% paired with 0.99% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -9.0% // FCF YLD: 0.99%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.58 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.58 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1.83 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Restaurants require continuous execution to defend -5.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -5.1% // D/E: 0.30x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 0.99%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -2.7%
NET MARGIN -5.1%
ROIC % -3.5%
REV GROWTH YOY -9.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.30x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BTBDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $1.67
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>