ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BRLT // Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001866757 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Consumer Specialties
$1.59 ▲ +0.04 (+2.58%)
MKT CAP: $161.9M • VOL: 16.2K
BRLT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 47/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
47 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF -54.7% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC -45.2% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 46% • VS 200D -1.2% • RSI 55.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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BRLT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.71%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.58H $1.60L $1.52C $1.59VOL 57.7K
RES: $1.72SUP: $1.10SMA50: $1.42SMA200: $1.34
$1.91$1.66$1.42$1.17$0.92RES $1.72SUP $1.10$1.592026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
BRLT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A) (BRLT) exhibits 57.5% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Consumer Specialties), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 57.5% gross profitability converts into -1.2% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: 57.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.6% paired with 3.55% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.6% // FCF YLD: 3.55%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.20 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1.59 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Consumer Specialties require continuous execution to defend -0.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -0.8% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 3.55%
GROSS MARGIN 57.5%
OPERATING MARGIN -1.2%
NET MARGIN -0.8%
ROIC % -35.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.34%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 62.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BRLTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $1.45
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>