ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ASC // Ardmore Shipping Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001577437 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Marine Transportation
$21.30 ▲ +0.51 (+2.45%)
MKT CAP: $869.1M • VOL: 623.0K
ASC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -49.1% vs NI -69.2% • ROIC-WACC -2.9% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 67% • VS 200D +6.3% • RSI 60.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
18 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did ASC's Forensic 10-K Risk & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ASC is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ASC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.20%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $21.11H $21.30L $20.70C $21.30VOL 460.8K
RES: $21.45SUP: $18.36SMA50: $18.82SMA200: $16.61
$21.95$19.46$16.96$14.47$11.98RES $21.45SUP $18.36$21.302026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ASC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 31/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 6.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Marine Transportation), balanced against a 21.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 6.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -23.6% paired with 9.39% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -23.6% // FCF YLD: 9.39%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 21.2x trailing P/E (19.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 21.2x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $21.30 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Marine Transportation require continuous execution to defend 13.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.2% // D/E: 0.20x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 21.2x
FORWARD P/E 19.7x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 9.39%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN 13.2%
ROIC % 6.5%
REV GROWTH YOY -23.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.01
DEBT / EQUITY 0.20x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.40%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ASCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $19.49
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ASC & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>