ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ARLO // Arlo Technologies Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001736946 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Diversified Commercial Services
$14.75 ▲ +1.11 (+8.14%)
MKT CAP: $1.59B • VOL: 2.35M
ARLO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 73% • VS 200D +8.6% • RSI 76.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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ARLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.98%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $14.55H $14.77L $14.07C $14.75VOL 2.16M
RES: $16.34SUP: $11.10SMA50: $12.96SMA200: $13.38
$17.26$15.73$14.20$12.67$11.15RES $16.34SUP $11.10$14.752026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ARLO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Arlo Technologies Inc. (ARLO) exhibits 44.0% gross margins and 6.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Diversified Commercial Services), balanced against a 106.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 44.0% gross profitability converts into 1.1% operating margin and 6.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.0% // GM: 44.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 4.96% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 4.96%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.60 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.60 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 106.3x trailing P/E (98.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 106.3x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $14.75 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Diversified Commercial Services require continuous execution to defend 2.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.8% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 98.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 106.3x
FORWARD P/E 98.9x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 4.96%
GROSS MARGIN 44.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.1%
NET MARGIN 2.8%
ROIC % 6.0%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.14
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.1
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ARLOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $13.50
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>