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ARHS // Arhaus Inc. (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001875444 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Other Specialty Stores
$12.71 ▲ +1.19 (+10.33%)
MKT CAP: $1.80B • VOL: 3.63M
ARHS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 78/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
78 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 90% • VS 200D +15.8% • RSI 84
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +3.3% • P/E 24.9x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
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SIGNAL

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ARHS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +71.76%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $12.74H $12.84L $12.26C $12.71VOL 1.81M
RES: $12.58SUP: $7.66SMA50: $9.51SMA200: $8.32
$13.35$11.24$9.13$7.02$4.92RES $12.58SUP $7.66$12.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ARHS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 73/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Arhaus Inc. (Class A) (ARHS) exhibits 38.9% gross margins and 42.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Other Specialty Stores), balanced against a 10.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 38.9% gross profitability converts into 6.4% operating margin and 42.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 42.6% // GM: 38.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.5% paired with 3.27% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.5% // FCF YLD: 3.27%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.66 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.66 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 26.8x trailing P/E (24.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 26.8x // EV/EBITDA: 10.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Specialty Stores require continuous execution to defend 4.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 4.9% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 26.8x
FORWARD P/E 24.9x
EV / EBITDA 10.0x
FCF YIELD 3.27%
GROSS MARGIN 38.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 6.4%
NET MARGIN 4.9%
ROIC % 42.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.47
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.02%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 73.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ARHSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.63
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>