ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ALG // Alamo Group Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000897077 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$146.74 ▲ +2.45 (+1.70%)
MKT CAP: $1.79B • VOL: 144.4K
ALG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B+ (RQD 77) -> C- (RQD 60)
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
60 / 100 -17D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF -20.5% vs NI -10.5% • ROIC-WACC +5.7% • Z 5.14
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +8.2% • P/E 16x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ALG's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ALG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ALG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $144.3H $146.7L $144.3C $146.7VOL 144.4K
RES: $180.3SUP: $142.2SMA50: $159.2SMA200: $168.6
$191.5$178.3$165.1$151.9$138.7RES $180.3SUP $142.2$146.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
ALG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) exhibits 24.8% gross margins and 14.3% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 8.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 24.8% gross profitability converts into 9.5% operating margin and 14.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.3% // GM: 24.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -1.5% paired with 8.23% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -1.5% // FCF YLD: 8.23%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.14 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.14 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 17.2x trailing P/E (16.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 17.2x // EV/EBITDA: 8.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $146.74 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 6.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.5% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 17.2x
FORWARD P/E 16.0x
EV / EBITDA 8.3x
FCF YIELD 8.23%
GROSS MARGIN 24.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.5%
NET MARGIN 6.5%
ROIC % 14.3%
REV GROWTH YOY -1.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $8.53
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.81%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 36.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ALGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $134.27
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ALG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>