ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AIRI // Air Industries Group

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001009891 ↗
Industrials • Military/Government/Technical
$2.59 ▼ +0.00 (-0.19%)
MKT CAP: $12.6M • VOL: 28.9K
AIRI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 23/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
23 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 35% • VS 200D -3.4% • RSI 46
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
3 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF YIELD +0% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 3/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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AIRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.04%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.56H $2.68L $2.55C $2.59VOL 12.1K
RES: $2.72SUP: $2.51SMA50: $2.59SMA200: $2.94
$3.32$3.04$2.77$2.49$2.21RES $2.72SUP $2.51$2.592026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
AIRI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 31/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Air Industries Group (AIRI) exhibits 17.1% gross margins and -1.3% return on invested capital within Industrials (Military/Government/Technical), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 17.1% gross profitability converts into -0.7% operating margin and -1.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -1.3% // GM: 17.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -13.0% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -13.0% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.20 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $2.59 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Military/Government/Technical require continuous execution to defend -2.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -2.7% // D/E: 0.08x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 17.1%
OPERATING MARGIN -0.7%
NET MARGIN -2.7%
ROIC % -1.3%
REV GROWTH YOY -13.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.08x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AIRIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $2.37
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>