ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AHCO // AdaptHealth Corp.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001725255 ↗
Health Care • Medical/Nursing Services
$5.93 ▼ -0.10 (-1.66%)
MKT CAP: $808.5M • VOL: 2.08M
AHCO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 45/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
45 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -7% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -5.3% • Z 0.79
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 59% • VS 200D +2.1% • RSI 47.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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AHCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.77%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $6.00H $6.04L $5.78C $5.93VOL 2.23M
RES: $9.35SUP: $5.71SMA50: $5.88SMA200: $9.19
$14.01$11.62$9.24$6.85$4.47RES $9.35SUP $5.71$5.932026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
AHCO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) exhibits 18.8% gross margins and 2.2% return on invested capital within Health Care (Medical/Nursing Services), balanced against a 6.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 18.8% gross profitability converts into 2.8% operating margin and 2.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.2% // GM: 18.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.5% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.5% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.79 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.79 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 6.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $5.93 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Medical/Nursing Services require continuous execution to defend -2.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -2.2% // D/E: 1.13x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 6.1x
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 18.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 2.8%
NET MARGIN -2.2%
ROIC % 2.2%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.13x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 44.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AHCOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $5.43
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>