ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AESI // Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001984060 ↗
Materials • Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
$9.26 ▼ -0.18 (-1.91%)
MKT CAP: $1.16B • VOL: 2.98M
AESI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 39/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
39 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
7 / 20
WARNING
FCF +73.7% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -9.1% • Z 1.18
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 65% • VS 200D +3.5% • RSI 48.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did AESI's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever AESI is Upgraded or Downgraded.

AESI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $8.97H $9.26L $8.92C $9.26VOL 2.87M
RES: $12.16SUP: $8.33SMA50: $11.85SMA200: $13.43
$20.95$17.56$14.17$10.79$7.40RES $12.16SUP $8.33$9.262026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
AESI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) exhibits 13.8% gross margins and -0.5% return on invested capital within Materials (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 13.8% gross profitability converts into -1.0% operating margin and -0.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -0.5% // GM: 13.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.7% paired with -2.67% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.7% // FCF YLD: -2.67%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.18 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.18 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.26 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) require continuous execution to defend -4.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -4.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -2.67%
GROSS MARGIN 13.8%
OPERATING MARGIN -1.0%
NET MARGIN -4.6%
ROIC % -0.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.45x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 34.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AESIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $8.47
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for AESI & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>